For SSDI claimants

Know your odds before you file or appeal.

Answer a few questions and see your approval odds at each stage — plus the judge, office, and state numbers for your case. Free, no account, and we’re not a law firm trying to sign you.

Estimate my odds I was denied — what now?

Start with the numbers on your case.

Approval-Odds Estimator

A plain-English estimate of how likely a claim like yours is to be approved — at the initial decision, reconsideration, and hearing.

How to use · Pick your state and condition, set where your claim stands, and read your odds.

Start here →

Approval Odds by Condition

How often claims for your specific medical condition are approved, and how your state compares to the national rate.

How to use · Open your condition, then drill into your state for a local number.

By condition & state →

Look up your judge

If your case is headed to a hearing, see the approval rate and recent trend for the administrative law judge assigned to it.

How to use · Search the judge by name to set realistic expectations going in.

1,150+ judges →

Data, not a sales pitch.

Built on real SSA decisionsEvery number comes from the disposition data Social Security publishes — not estimates we made up.
This is information, not legal adviceThe odds help you decide your next step. They don’t replace a lawyer if you want one.

See where your claim stands in about a minute.

Estimate my odds

Free · No account · Public SSA data · Updated June 2026